Thursday, January 27, 2011

Automotive Digest: Retail Gasoline Price Forecast through 2015

Retail Gasoline Price Forecast through 2015

Gas price forecast 2015

Industry Report - Jan-Feb 2011

Significance of the Data
Over last year there has been very little volatility in world oil market – spot price of 1 barrel of crude oil has remained broadly stable around $70 to $80
ALG has increased number of forecasting sources considered for oil prices – consensus continues to indicate less inflation in oil and gas prices
Based on information, ALG lowered annual outlook for average retail regular grade gasoline in 2013 from $3.95 to $3.78
ALG now thinks it will take until 2015 for gas prices to once again pass $4 per gallon mark
On average, forecast has positive impact on residuals, although there will be marked variations by segment
Vehicles w/ low MPG ratings will be most positively impacted, while vehicles w/ high MPG ratings will be negatively impacted

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